Pre-Earnings Week: Eli Lilly Q1 (April 30) + Novo Nordisk Q1 (May 6) Headline Pivotal Stretch for Obesity Drug Stocks
Two of the largest obesity drug makers report this week: Eli Lilly (April 30) with Foundayo (orforglipron) launch trajectory and Mounjaro/Zepbound dynamics under scrutiny — Lilly previously guided 2026 sales of $80-83 billion (25% growth); and Novo Nordisk (May 6) facing 5-13% guided sales decline as semaglutide loses exclusivity in China, Brazil, Canada, and as the Wegovy pill ramps. Goldman analysts model Lilly's oral GLP-1 capturing 60% of the daily-oral segment by 2030; Novo's projected at 21%. The Foundayo Week 1-2 prescription tracker has shown a slow start.