Eli Lilly Stock +11% Past Week After Q1 Beat + Foundayo FAERS Recovery; Analyst Consensus Forecasts 24% 12-Month Upside
Eli Lilly stock has gained roughly 11% over the past week, recovering from the May 4 Foundayo hepatic-failure FAERS report-driven 3% premarket dip and consolidating gains from the April 30 Q1 beat. Per the May 6 analyst consensus across 19 covering firms, LLY now carries an average 12-month price target of $1,228 — implying 24.15% upside from current $966 — with a Buy consensus rating. The recovery framework: tirzepatide volume (+125% global Q1 growth) anchors the floor, retatrutide TRIUMPH program (seven Phase 3 readouts due in 2026) anchors the upside, the small-molecule manufacturing economics of Foundayo offset peptide CDMO bottlenecks, and Pfizer's MariTide/MET-097i and Novo's CagriSema higher-dose program don't read out until 2027.