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Citi (May 8): Foundayo Week 4 IQVIA Tracker Hits 7,335 Prescriptions, Telehealth Gap May Mask Real Uptake

In its fourth commercial week (April 27–May 1), Eli Lilly's Foundayo (orforglipron) recorded 7,335 prescriptions per IQVIA, Citi told clients May 8, calling the early launch 'off to a solid start' and modeling $146M in Q2 revenue and $1.6B for full-year 2026. Citi flagged that IQVIA captures retail and partial telehealth data but likely understates Lilly Direct and the 12+ telehealth firms representing roughly 35% of launch volume; Lilly executives have cited 20,000 patients now on Foundayo. For comparison, Citi's same note pegged Wegovy pill at 440,410 prescriptions in the week ending May 1, with oral semaglutide accounting for 33% of all Novo obesity referrals.